Solving the Monty Hall Problem with Bayes Theorem
How your intuition can lose you money on gameshows
Published in
3 min readApr 20, 2020
You’re on a gameshow called “Let’s Make a Deal”. There are 3 closed doors in front of you.
Behind each door is a prize. One door has a car, one door has breath mints, and one door has a bar of soap. You’ll get the prize behind the door you pick, but you don’t know which…