Solving the Monty Hall Problem with Bayes Theorem

How your intuition can lose you money on gameshows

GreekDataGuy
Towards Data Science
3 min readApr 20, 2020

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Photo by vaun0815 on Unsplash

You’re on a gameshow called “Let’s Make a Deal”. There are 3 closed doors in front of you.

Behind each door is a prize. One door has a car, one door has breath mints, and one door has a bar of soap. You’ll get the prize behind the door you pick, but you don’t know which…

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