SERIES ON THEORIES

Negative R2: Where Did You Go Wrong?

A statistical example

Kate Wall
Towards Data Science
6 min readOct 21, 2022

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Recently, I went about a machine learning task and obtained a negative R2 scoring metric on my holdout test set.

“Wait! Isn’t R2… squared? Shouldn’t it be between 0 and 1? What on earth have I done?”

Initially, I was very concerned about the state of my machine learning task. After a couple minutes of googling, I remained only mildly concerned about the state of my machine learning task. In any case, I got a nice review of…

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PhD Candidate | Statistician | Engineer | Enthusiast of all things data science!