Explaining The 2019 UK Election Result With Data Science

Using permutation importance to lift the lid on black-box models

Callum Ballard
Towards Data Science
13 min readDec 17, 2019

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On September 2nd, Boris Johnson, the UK’s Prime Minister, stood on the steps of 10 Downing Street and announced that he didn’t want a general election. Anyone with an ounce of political nous knew what was coming next.

On the morning of Friday the 13th (naturally) of December, the country awoke to find that it had given Boris Johnson the biggest Conservative election win since the days of Margaret…

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Analytics Lead at Cleo AI, McKinsey & LSE Alumni, previously published in The Economist. Typically found listening to Japanese Math Rock...