Electability & the Senate in 2020

Modeling the differences between Democratic contenders

At present, there are twelve major contenders vying to become the Democratic Party’s presidential nominee. One of the important questions weighing on voters’ minds: How well can those candidates do in a general election?

A second and equally important question: What will happen to the composition of the Senate? This is likely to be the main limiting factor on policy change with a Democratic president — and will also likely have a significant impact on the…