Easy Distribution-Free Conformal Intervals for Time Series

Using Python and your test set to derive distribution-agnostic intervals

Michael Keith
Towards Data Science
7 min readFeb 15, 2023

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Photo by Gilly on Unsplash

As important as producing a point estimate for forecasting applications is determining how far off the actual value is likely to be from the prediction. Most forecasts are not 100% accurate so having a good sense of the possibilities when…

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