AI Weather Models Now Outperform Traditional Forecasts

How are they being evaluated, and what does this mean for the future of weather forecasting?

Caroline Arnold
Towards Data Science
7 min readMar 11, 2024

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A collection of colorful weather icons, featuring rain, clouds, wind, and sunshine, drawn in comic style.
Image created by the author using Midjourney.

Have you ever checked the weather forecast for the weekend and made plans, only to be surprised by rain? Then you may have wondered about the reliability of weather forecasts.

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AI Consultant, PhD in Physics. I write about artificial intelligence, data analysis, science, and diversity. https://medium.com/visual-data-science